Sunday, January 13, 2008

Maybe His Hat is Too Tight

I know polls like this are more for fun than actually predicting anything, but doesn't Matt Drudge understand the concept of "sampling error?"

He had a headline on his site Saturday stating:
CNN POLL: CLINTON OR OBAMA WOULD BEAT ANY REPUBLICAN (link)
But taking into account the sampling error of +/-3.5%, the CNN poll shows a statistical TIE between Clinton vs. McCain and Obama vs. McCain.

CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION POLL January 9-10

Registered Voters' Choice for President

Clinton 50%
McCain 48%

Obama 49%
McCain 48%

Sampling error: +/-3.5% pts

WTF?

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